
As much as I want ICE abolished (and would not mind worse), from reading the article and looking at the references, the logic in the claim is a bit dubious.
1A) 0 ICE has ever been killed “in the line of duty” on the American streets.
1B) The article arrives at a death rate of 1 in 95k / yr based on slightly broader (but still valid) conditions.
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In 2024 there were 336 school shooting incidents and 276 victims wounded or killed; in 2025 there were 233 and 148 respectively (k12ssdb; I assumed all victims are students btw).
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There were about 50 million K-12 students enrolled in public schools in 2024
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Elementary school shooting incidents are just over 20% (incidents no victims, and not for 2024 but the entire k12ssdb reporting period)
5A) Taking the larger and more tragic number of dead+wounded from (2) divided by 50 million we get about 1 in 181k.
5B) For every three shooting victims, roughly one dies. So I would triple that to 1 in 540k or so. This is a ballpark for the elementary school death rate (what the article refers to).
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For the article headline claim to be ordinarily true, [1B] should be greater than [5B]. It is not as 95k isnt greater than 540k or even 181k. Still, I find this unacceptably close to the ICE death rate by orders of magnitude but it’s not the most honest comparison.
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In an alternative interpretation, the article could be using the value in [1A] for the basis of the claim instead of [1B], which would be trivial as the nonzero number of elementary school shooting deaths would always be greater than 0. But it’s not worded that way. Risk is by definition future-facing.
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The population of ICE agents is “only” about 20k (still too many) as of very recently, which is not nearly high enough to beat the “rounding errors” or granularity of a 1 in 100k/yr death rate.
In closing remarks, fuck ICE. ACAB.







I wonder if Westeros would have ruled against the name “Milk of the poppy.” No? The UK officially has worse takes on law than The Seven Fucking Kingdoms.
Capitalism lol